my prediction for summer
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- steve shearer
- BUTTONMEISTER
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Re: my prediction for summer
Fri/Sat.
And what the fcuk is that out near Fiji?
And what the fcuk is that out near Fiji?
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes
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- Harry the Hat
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Re: my prediction for summer
Yeah, but EC has almost abandoned the idea of any real swell from this puppy Steve. I was excited until yesterday!!!steve shearer wrote:And what the fcuk is that out near Fiji?
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- barnacle
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Re: my prediction for summer
Please. Need some swell soon
no, Im not a surfer, Im just a garbage man".
- el rancho
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Re: my prediction for summer
the Fiji thing looks to maybe move WSW tuesday/wednesday next week
also looks slow moving.
also looks slow moving.
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- Harry the Hat
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Re: my prediction for summer
Widely divergent across the models at the moment so I'm not holding my breath. GFS going gang busters as per usual on the long range charts.el rancho wrote:the Fiji thing looks to maybe move WSW tuesday/wednesday next week
also looks slow moving.
Re: my prediction for summer
How can you say they're wildly divergent when each models is showing a south-west track of a tropical system to the Fiji region before stalling.
Sure the intensity isn't being agreed upon but all the guidance suggests a tropical system stalling south to east of Fiji.
Wildly divergent would apply if GFS was as it currently is and then say EC and the other models show no such tropical system at all with a big blocking high in the area.
Sure the intensity isn't being agreed upon but all the guidance suggests a tropical system stalling south to east of Fiji.
Wildly divergent would apply if GFS was as it currently is and then say EC and the other models show no such tropical system at all with a big blocking high in the area.
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- Harry the Hat
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Re: my prediction for summer
Fair comment Craig. I guess I'm indicating widely divergent swell sizes from the current models, with again GFS being the outlier here.
Re: my prediction for summer
OK I agree on that, but no one's put a size on the swell yet, just that there is a swell producing system on the cards, the first of the season.
When saying the models are divergent it usually applies to the atmospheric models, not wave models so I think you need to be a little clearer
When saying the models are divergent it usually applies to the atmospheric models, not wave models so I think you need to be a little clearer
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- Harry the Hat
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Re: my prediction for summer
Yep, fair point Craig. My apologies. Just that when it's on a surfing forum, one kinda assumes people are talking/getting excited about swell potential.
- crabmeat thompson
- Huey's Right Hand
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Re: my prediction for summer
Hey fong, will you take $27 for it?fongss wrote:plenty other ppl excited about itDonweather wrote:. I was excited until yesterday!!!
points are full.....cant wait see the chaos the weekend brings
i get down there early for a park....than walk home
if anyone wants a parking spot at noosa ...pm me
$50...no offers
- crabmeat thompson
- Huey's Right Hand
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Re: my prediction for summer
Hey Craig ... outta curiosity, do those kind of tropical systems ever produce waves as far south as here?
- crabmeat thompson
- Huey's Right Hand
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Re: my prediction for summer
Ah forget that mate. I just read the extended forecast for my area.
Good to know, good to know.
Good to know, good to know.
Re: my prediction for summer
Hi Braithy, yeah these systems aren't good swell producers for Sydney and Southern NSW let alone the Tassie East Coast, but in saying that the further south-west it protrudes and the longer it hags around, the greater the chance of some noticeable swell making its way down to you. It's a real long shot though and I wouldn't expect much besides a very small and inconsistent NE signal at this stage!
- crabmeat thompson
- Huey's Right Hand
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Re: my prediction for summer
Cheers Craig. I was thinking nothing would get this far, so something small and inconsistent is a vast improvement.
- steve shearer
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Re: my prediction for summer
V. interesting area of convection near Solomons with both GFS and AccessG showing some mouth-watering potential to round off 2012./
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes
Re: my prediction for summer
just saw that on gfs long range fantasy land.looks like an easterly dip perhaps or perhaps cyclone off new cal? still a few days out to firm up dont ya reckon?
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- barnacle
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Re: my prediction for summer
Anymore news on this as swell has now gone
no, Im not a surfer, Im just a garbage man".
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- Harry the Hat
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Re: my prediction for summer
Models in reasonable agreement a cyclone will form up between New Cal and the Solomons later this weekend, however as to it's track and intensity after that.....well that's still anyone's guess as the models are fairly divergent still with again GFS painting the much better scenario swell wise.
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