What surfer doesn't care about the weather? Who hasn't predicted the arrival of a new swell? Do all of it here!
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Donweather
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by Donweather » Sun Jan 09, 2011 4:38 pm
EC and GFS aligning reasonably well for some solid E'ly groundswell to light up Qld/NSW later this week and into early next week!!!
![Shocked :shock:](./images/smilies/icon_eek.gif)
Oh and did someone say light winds!!!
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brendo
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by brendo » Sun Jan 09, 2011 8:46 pm
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Donweather
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by Donweather » Sun Jan 09, 2011 9:02 pm
Forget that one Brendo. If this GFS model comes off (which at present isn't too far from the EC model) then god help the east coast!!! This thing would generate an 8-10ft E'ly groundswell around next Monday 17th January!!
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Quangers
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by Quangers » Sun Jan 09, 2011 9:19 pm
^^^^FMD
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bumfluff
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by bumfluff » Mon Jan 10, 2011 1:52 pm
Don, would I be right in saying that this coming Sunday morning is looking stellar for SEQ?
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Grooter
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by Grooter » Mon Jan 10, 2011 2:02 pm
Sh.ithouse for Victorians
Week of onshores last week and crappy junky surf. Wednesday was the only decent day but that's nothing to rave about. More of the same this week by the looks of it.
Week between Xmas and New Years was better but not by much
The early morning light northerlies and the 1.5 - 2 metre swells we traditionally get are nowhere to be seen, instead we've had more fcuken southerlies in a row than we'd normally get during winter
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Donweather
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by Donweather » Mon Jan 10, 2011 2:12 pm
bumfluff wrote:Don, would I be right in saying that this coming Sunday morning is looking stellar for SEQ?
Please define "stellar" BF? Swell, yes siree....a building solid E'ly groundswell. Winds, yes, light and variable. Finding a non-crowded point that can handle this swell................................boooohoooo, not stellar.
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bumfluff
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by bumfluff » Mon Jan 10, 2011 2:47 pm
Donweather wrote:bumfluff wrote:Don, would I be right in saying that this coming Sunday morning is looking stellar for SEQ?
Please define "stellar" BF? Swell, yes siree....a building solid E'ly groundswell. Winds, yes, light and variable. Finding a non-crowded point that can handle this swell................................boooohoooo, not stellar.
Well it would be the best conditions we've had here for a long time. For SEQ we've got light WSW winds early Sunday morning and what's looking like 6ft swell.
And as for the crowds....well:
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alakaboo
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by alakaboo » Mon Jan 10, 2011 3:57 pm
bumfluff wrote:Well it would be the best conditions we've had here for a long time.
yeah, but'll probably be blown out by the time Swellnet does their surf report. Must be torture, sitting inside waiting to see what the conditions were like before the reporter went for a paddle.
bumfluff wrote:For SEQ we've got light WSW winds early Sunday morning and what's looking like 6ft swell.
don't tell me you've figured out how to find a wind forecast?!
don't tell your friends!
Donweather wrote:Finding a non-crowded point that can handle this swell................................
if the rain keeps up, maybe Kangaroo Pt?
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bumfluff
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by bumfluff » Mon Jan 10, 2011 4:11 pm
alakaboo wrote:
bumfluff wrote:For SEQ we've got light WSW winds early Sunday morning and what's looking like 6ft swell.
don't tell me you've figured out how to find a wind forecast?!
don't tell your friends!
Yep, and you watch it change to straight East by the time Sunday comes around
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Donweather
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by Donweather » Mon Jan 10, 2011 8:45 pm
bumfluff wrote:Well it would be the best conditions we've had here for a long time. For SEQ we've got light WSW winds early Sunday morning and what's looking like 6ft swell.
Models for the SC have already backflipped on light winds for Sunday morning and they've also pushed back the arrival time of the peak in the E'ly groundswell so Sunday morning might just have a particular beachie that's surfable.
Monday is likely to be a very different story mind you (assuming the latest GFS comes to fruition).
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bumfluff
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by bumfluff » Mon Jan 10, 2011 9:22 pm
Pffffft.... See!
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bumfluff
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by bumfluff » Mon Jan 10, 2011 11:10 pm
I've still got light SSW for Sunday morning so that's all I'm gonna look at.
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oldman
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by oldman » Tue Jan 11, 2011 6:20 pm
Forgetting the current rain conditions up north .........................
And that it wasn't even a cyclone produced rain event .................................
The chances of solid swell lasting for a week or more for most of qld and nsw looks pretty high right now.
I'm still tipping for good swell to last until February, when SASurfa is due to return from a knee injury, after which there will be a protracted flat spell.
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Donweather
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by Donweather » Tue Jan 11, 2011 8:31 pm
oldman wrote:The chances of solid swell lasting for a week or more for most of qld and nsw looks pretty high right now.
Yes, the models now have the system stalling in the Tasman Sea next week and whilst only a compact fetch it should certainly keep the east coast topped up well into mid-late next week!!!
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bumfluff
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by bumfluff » Wed Jan 12, 2011 2:41 pm
The wind forecast for the weekend has changed AGAIN. Now it's looking like Monday morning is the go and Sat and Sun will be SE.
The swell forecast has picked up a notch too though and is currently at 7 foot
Monday morning has 7 foot predicted and SW/WSW early. Sweet baby jesus...
![Shocked :shock:](./images/smilies/icon_eek.gif)
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Donweather
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by Donweather » Wed Jan 12, 2011 2:48 pm
bumfluff wrote:Monday morning has 7 foot predicted and SW/WSW early. Sweet baby jesus...
![Shocked :shock:](./images/smilies/icon_eek.gif)
Based on latest forecasts bumfluff, me thinks Monday morning at open beaches could well be considerably larger than 7ft!!!!
I'd be thinking 8ft+ (although my calcs show this peak to occur overnight Sunday
![disappointed :(](./images/smilies/Disappointed_anim.gif)
) come Monday morning is possible at open beaches.
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diggerdickson
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by diggerdickson » Wed Jan 12, 2011 2:51 pm
bumfluff wrote:The wind forecast for the weekend has changed AGAIN. Now it's looking like Monday morning is the go and Sat and Sun will be SE.
The swell forecast has picked up a notch too though and is currently at 7 foot
Monday morning has 7 foot predicted and SW/WSW early. Sweet baby jesus...
![Shocked :shock:](./images/smilies/icon_eek.gif)
Im starting to salavate, piture homer drooling over food and thats me, hey bumfluff I got monday off how about you
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