Mentawai quiver.

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Nick Carroll
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by Nick Carroll » Fri Sep 14, 2018 9:56 am

steve shearer wrote:
Fri Sep 14, 2018 6:25 am

Aren't you going?
ha ha you're procrastinating over a coupla thousand words, I'm up to my arse in an entire book

I dunno, I have a board Banksy made sitting at his place, so maybe after I clear part one I'll go and get it. But I'm not going to Sumatra etc till early next yr

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steve shearer
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by steve shearer » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:07 am

Here's how much I'm procrastinating: looks like Wales with a swell window narrower than a nun's Cnut is about to get a tasty little ex-hurricane swell.

Y'see that Godsave, or are you too busy jogging?
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cedric
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by cedric » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:58 am

Put that 6'9 in the boardbag.

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steve shearer
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by steve shearer » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:55 pm

Cranked, according to your blokes at surf-forecast the surf will be about 10 times bigger on Wed in Bali compared to the Mentawaiis.

They have to be fcuking with people, right?
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

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The Mighty Sunbird
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by The Mighty Sunbird » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:59 pm

Depends on the kilojoules count
Erase.

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steve shearer
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by steve shearer » Fri Sep 14, 2018 1:05 pm

it's a couple of germans making shitt up, I'm sure of it.
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

channels
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by channels » Fri Sep 14, 2018 1:35 pm

steve shearer wrote:
Fri Sep 14, 2018 1:05 pm
it's a couple of germans making shitt up, I'm sure of it.
It's an elaborate troll by Iggs.

Like convincing everyone he moved to Lakemba.

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Cranked
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by Cranked » Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:07 pm

steve shearer wrote:
Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:55 pm
Cranked, according to your blokes at surf-forecast the surf will be about 10 times bigger on Wed in Bali compared to the Mentawaiis.

They have to be fcuking with people, right?
Like all the big surf forecasts its automated.
“I don’t necessarily agree with everything I say ”— Marshall McLuhan

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steve shearer
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by steve shearer » Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:16 pm

so it can't be right, or even close to right then for the Mentawaiis?
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

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Cranked
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by Cranked » Fri Sep 14, 2018 4:08 pm

Magic Seaweed is saying roughly the same and so is Storm Surf. The Surf Forcast kJs are roughly 400 and 4000. The others are in feet so who knows.

The animated model shows the how and why:
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display ... pac_height
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steve shearer
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by steve shearer » Fri Sep 14, 2018 4:31 pm

Surf-forecast on Wed says Iceland, which looks like one of the most exposed reefs in the Mentawaiis is less than 400kj all day.
Ulus peaks at just under 4000kj on the same day.

That surely can't be right.


Maybe it is?

Does Bali get that much more swell than the Ments?
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

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Cranked
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by Cranked » Fri Sep 14, 2018 4:42 pm

I too was under the impression that the Ments got more swell (and had much lighter winds) than Bali
“I don’t necessarily agree with everything I say ”— Marshall McLuhan

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Cranked
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by Cranked » Fri Sep 14, 2018 5:01 pm

The Iceland SurfForecast stats for Sept show 4 to 6.5' 63% of time and for Uluwatu its 6.5 to 10' 63% of the time.

Ulus is offshore 99%, Iceland 60%
http://www.surf-forecast.com/breaks/Uluwatu
http://www.surf-forecast.com/breaks/Icelands
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bomboraa
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by bomboraa » Fri Sep 14, 2018 7:30 pm

Taking some poppers? Ever been up one of the rivers to meet the animist locals? Worth it.

Beanpole
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by Beanpole » Fri Sep 14, 2018 7:32 pm

Doesn't the swell intensity rely on the direction?
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steve shearer
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by steve shearer » Sat Sep 15, 2018 5:27 am

Not taking any fishing gear Bombie,got zero interest in getting my arms stretched by GT's. there'll be some trolling gear onboard.
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

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steve shearer
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by steve shearer » Sat Sep 15, 2018 6:17 am

Gunna be really interesting to see how the various forecast sites deal with it.

according to Surf-forecast , just about every break in the Ments next Wed will be 300-500kj.........roughy head high or under? pretty weak anyhow.

Ulus according to MSW will be 8ft.

My call is breaks with exposure to SSW angled swell should be 3-5ft with some 6footers. Roughly equivalent to the MSW call.

I found MSW pretty useful for Cloudbreak when I was there.
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

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Cranked
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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Post by Cranked » Sat Sep 15, 2018 7:58 am

“I don’t necessarily agree with everything I say ”— Marshall McLuhan

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