Yes, you're right. Ultimately the market will determine whether any new technology will dominate the market, share it, or fade away.Laurie McGinness wrote:smw1 my concern is not that shapers would personally go broke, but that the traditional board makers will find it hard to compete. These boards are more expensive now but with high volumes prices will come down. Once they are at or below traditional board prices the pressure will really be on those businesses...The other point somebody made was about putting shapers out of business. As far as I understand it, the shapers who have designs made in tuflite usually receive royalties, so it's not all doom and gloom.
Do people prefer a board that is stronger, lighter, with a proven shape, or do they prefer to take a bit of a risk to get a board to exactly to their specs that might or might not work as they expect and will definitely not last as long? The market will tell us.
Surfboard manufacture has been in the handicraft/cottage industry phase, using the same methods and living in a bubble for well over 50 years. So I think it's fair to say that technological change is overdue.
Ranting that the market is wrong is like arguing with a Mack truck. The market is the market. If you take the long perspective the market almost always reflects the majority view - and hence "reality". I call this "feedback". You can go with it or get run over.
If you want the market to go a certain way, then it is up to you (whoever), the inspired individual, to develop the product that will enable custom shapers to still play a part, while meeting the stronger/lighter/tougher qualities of tuflites, and be competitive on price.
Surftech has taken a substantial risk to go against the conventional wisdom to bring us a product with such superior potential, and I think they deserve their competitive advantage at least for awhile.
Personally, I think the way forward is for SurfTech to licence their processes and take a smaller cut of an almost unlimited pie rather limit themselves to all of a very small one. With few changes the technology will sustain custom shaping, and if they don't do this soon, someone else will beat them to it. Well, I hope they would.
For what its worth, I think the major threat to local shapers is the $400 chinese polyester board, not tuflites.