La Nina 20/21

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steve shearer
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La Nina 20/21

Post by steve shearer » Sun Sep 06, 2020 10:30 am

very typical signature pattern unfolding now.
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by Drailed » Thu Sep 10, 2020 9:52 am

predictions on this summers waves down the East Coast Steve?
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by steve shearer » Thu Sep 10, 2020 9:59 am

active surf pattern.
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by Drailed » Thu Sep 10, 2020 1:38 pm

Typical Winds/swell direction under La nina?
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by steve shearer » Thu Sep 10, 2020 3:22 pm

more trades in the near south pac corridor and CS.

more instability in the SPCZ leading to troughs, easterly dips and tropical and sub-tropical lows.

so more swells from the eastern quadrant.

winds depending.
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by crabmeat thompson » Sat Sep 12, 2020 10:46 am

you got any recollection of the last one shep?

my memory is hazy, but i feel like the banks were always in a constant state of being fucked. ripped out and gutted, all the action out on the back storm bar into a big wide & deep gutter. bit spooky.

i do remember the super bank came of age, and damon harvey netted that 8-footer from off the rock all the way into kirra. but beachies, were in a constant state of being cooked?
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steve shearer
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by steve shearer » Sat Sep 12, 2020 11:32 am

last big one was 2010/11, which was primarily noted for the Brisbane floods.

not esp. amazing for surf.

Although Spring 2010, in the lead-up, was fcukn amazing.

I like this little corner of RS.

Just me you and Loof.
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by Drailed » Mon Sep 14, 2020 10:24 am

steve shearer wrote:
Sat Sep 12, 2020 11:32 am
last big one was 2010/11, which was primarily noted for the Brisbane floods.

not esp. amazing for surf.

Although Spring 2010, in the lead-up, was fcukn amazing.

I like this little corner of RS.

Just me you and Loof.
And braithy, its nice mate, the men can talk properly in here without the bitches and gronks fccckng it up.
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by steve shearer » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:53 am

correct.
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by steve shearer » Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:46 pm

its official.
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by buddy » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:07 pm

correct.

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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by Wubic Pig » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:39 pm

Link please...
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by buddy » Tue Sep 15, 2020 5:05 pm


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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by Nick Carroll » Wed Sep 16, 2020 1:54 pm

they're a bit different when the IOD is negative and the southern annular thing goes a bit retro, ike they appear to be about to do in sync with this La Nina. Effects are magnified. See winter 2007, summer 98/99, 1974.

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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by steve shearer » Wed Sep 16, 2020 2:37 pm

feeling so La Nina like around here.

moisture in the air, cumulus towers every day out to sea, E swell still continuing, very much attenuated northerly pattern.

thanks for your contribution Nick, don;t be scared to come in here and throw in your 2 cents worth.

Loof won't bite. He feels a bit inferior around weather nerd discussions.
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by crabmeat thompson » Wed Sep 16, 2020 6:41 pm

this is really nice isn't it. i could get quite used to in here.

the la nina i'm thinking of was before the 2010/11 shep ... I had my torn achilles that year and moved to angourie in late 2010. around there was really fun. some big crisp days at backbeach too.
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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by Nick Carroll » Wed Sep 16, 2020 7:45 pm

the more I look at this coast and the patterns the more I realise I don't have a fucken clue about it really.

I was thinking about winter swells over the years after this year's amazing events and got hold of some pics a friend of mine posted. This was from June 1968, showed a 20’+ easterly groundswell at about 20secs hitting a beach near me. Strong SW offshore, late winter afternoon.

This was at least as big as anything that hit here this year, probably bigger. Not a word of it in any surf mag of the time. Nobody I talked with remembered it. This astounding swell passed unmarked by any surfer's memory I've been able to unearth.

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Re: La Nina 20/21

Post by tootr » Wed Sep 16, 2020 8:10 pm

So this summer, hot, humid, more storms / cyclones, and more rain?
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