Autumn fourteen

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tonks
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by tonks » Thu Apr 10, 2014 1:17 pm

extratropical transition?

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steve shearer
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by steve shearer » Thu Apr 10, 2014 2:18 pm

aye.

Could merge with a strong frontal system/low in the Tasman early next week.

Models are hinting at it. Still a big could though.

The tasman low/ecl on it's own is worth a bit of froth.
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8
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by 8 » Thu Apr 10, 2014 2:27 pm

Will happen for sure.... she will sit off NZ west coast, intensify and whirl like a dervish for a few days.

Iron clad guarantee of 10ft + for NSW

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steve shearer
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by steve shearer » Thu Apr 10, 2014 2:49 pm

I like your style 8.
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steve shearer
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by steve shearer » Thu Apr 10, 2014 6:03 pm

Cat5 you queens.
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by 8 » Thu Apr 10, 2014 6:10 pm

You gotta stay positive about these things, it's better for the water molecules.....increases their amplitude and such.

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crabmeat thompson
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by crabmeat thompson » Thu Apr 10, 2014 6:41 pm

Well ... this will either drag the coastline and bank bust us, or the new zealand development will come true and shit's about to get real.

I'm all for shit getting real.
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steve shearer
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by steve shearer » Fri Apr 11, 2014 5:26 am

it's about to get real for FNQ.

Cat 5 and possibly going annular.

Braithy, you're a fcuking nostradamus....I'm never mocking your predictive skills again.
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Donweather
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by Donweather » Fri Apr 11, 2014 6:29 am

But in reality is the swell from ex Ita or the Tasman low. I'm thinking more so the later.

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No Pants Lance
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by No Pants Lance » Fri Apr 11, 2014 6:33 am

How far south will Ita impact?
Just my luck brissy gets obliterated before my appearance on Good Friday.

Models for sydney and surrounds by Tuesday next week show faaarking big waves.

Is this the end?

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steve shearer
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by steve shearer » Fri Apr 11, 2014 7:14 am

agreed Don.

Gut feeling is ITA will slide SE as she comes into our swell window.

Sunny Hoax might score a glancing blow.
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

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crabmeat thompson
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by crabmeat thompson » Fri Apr 11, 2014 8:31 am

steve shearer wrote:it's about to get real for FNQ.

Cat 5 and possibly going annular.

Braithy, you're a fcuking nostradamus....I'm never mocking your predictive skills again.
Yeah, the mangoes never lie. They say this cat 5 is spinning up 300-kay winds. Heavy.

Hang on a second... you were mocking me? I thought it was playful banter among friends?
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Donweather
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by Donweather » Fri Apr 11, 2014 12:38 pm

With little to no ridge to the south of Ita and her quick whisk away to the SE I can't see any real swell coming from her. All eyes on the Tasman IMO.

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crabmeat thompson
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by crabmeat thompson » Fri Apr 11, 2014 12:44 pm

The mango theory doesn't give a shit about swell don, never has. It's about large land-crossing cyclones.

Anyway ... the latest BOM charts indicate the tasman low won't do much for SE qld wave chasers ... ita on the other hand might reel off 8ft Kirra.


Image
steve shearer wrote:
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You are both absorbing salt and urinating.

Donweather
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by Donweather » Fri Apr 11, 2014 1:23 pm

Braithy I'm not talking about this weekend. I'm talking about the Tasman low mid-late next week.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 2014041012!!/

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crabmeat thompson
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by crabmeat thompson » Fri Apr 11, 2014 6:02 pm

Ah that old chestnut.
steve shearer wrote:
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steve shearer
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by steve shearer » Sat Apr 12, 2014 1:19 pm

hoax
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

Donweather
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Re: Autumn fourteen

Post by Donweather » Sat Apr 12, 2014 6:55 pm

steve shearer wrote:hoax
The Tasman low mid-late next week?

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