my prediction for summer

[Donweather]

A pretty impressive monsoon trough looks set to stretch across the entire continent over the next week + or so, courtesy of a pretty active phase of the MJO.

[pirate_agenda]

A pretty impressive monsoon trough looks set to stretch across the entire continent over the next week + or so, courtesy of a pretty active phase of the MJO.

does a monsoon trough give us swell? getting desperate around these parts (cronulla)!

[Donweather]

Not unless a cyclone spins up and tracks down into our swell window, but with a big monsoon trough and an active MJO pushing east, there's a good a chance as any of this happening.

Looks like we'll have some decent tradewind swell on the cards late next week anyway (and wind too boot). Not sure how much you shire boys will see of this though.

[brendo]

yea don, the long weekend is looking good for alot of the east coast on the long weekend with the current run of gfs fantasy land models! most of it aimed around the border, with a strong low/cat 1 forming in north qld. could be interesting at the end of the month depending on its track. pref slide in front of newcal
and hopefully the high sticks around = happy east coast surfers!

[Donweather]

Latest GFS run has gone VERY fecking cold on the idea of a Coral Sea cyclone next week. EC on the other hand couldn't have gotten any hotter with it showing a crossing north of Fraser....but of course we don't want this at all, cause all that will bring is strong winds and a confused, bank busting swell on it's southern flank. We want the puppy to track parallel to the Qld coastline. Although with the large high progged to cradle beneath her, she'll struggle to do that at this stage, particularly if she's only a Cat 1 storm.

[brendo]

looks like sunny coast bank buster, but some nice swell heading for nsw mid north/north coast by the looks of it

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/models/?l ... 0&focus=mh

[steve shearer]

I'd take all those model runs with a grain of salt.

esp after the Freda freak-out.

they are all guilt now until proven innocent.

no doubt something will spin up along the monsoon trough as the deep layer NW winds migrate across from Indonesian longitudes.

[brendo]

latest run of gfs fantasy land prick teasing....

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/models/?l ... 0&focus=mh

[steve shearer]

Looks like shitts about to break loose.

[Donweather]

Yeah latest EC and GFS both look damn good, but again, too far out and as you said Steve....all guilty now until proven innocent.

[Donweather]

A pretty impressive monsoon trough looks set to stretch across the entire continent over the next week + or so, courtesy of a pretty active phase of the MJO.

Hello Ossie and Gazza!!!

[Donweather]

Geezus Steve, latest 18z GFs run paints a very BAD picture for SE Qld/Nth NSW courtesy of ex TC Ossie!!!!

[Trev]

Geezus Steve, latest 18z GFs run paints a very BAD picture for SE Qld/Nth NSW courtesy of ex TC Ossie!!!!

Are you saying we're gonna get smashed?
Some decent rain would be good.

[Donweather]

Every damn prediction and associated frothing has turned the surf to shite..

That's why I'm talking about it, to try and jinx it cause I don't want it to happen!!

And Trev, I'm not sure our friends from Townsville to Gympie will be praying for rain after this weekend!!

[Trev]

And Trev, I'm not sure our friends from Townsville to Gympie will be praying for rain after this weekend!!

So, nothing here on the sunny coast?

[alakaboo]

Have a play with this, Trev.
http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/watl/rainfall/pme.jsp

[Trev]

Thanks 'boo.