Winter: La Nina refuses to leave the building.

[steve shearer]

Love to be heading for Indo right now.

[Donweather]

Steve, I updated my last post above in the last paragraph. What's your thoughts?

[steve shearer]

yeah, I've been noticing that too Don. will try and riff on it today if I get a chance.

ties in with a few things relating to what seems to be a weakening El Nino signal.

[SAsurfa]

Yep that low over near the North Island will produce one of the better swells of the last few weeks. Keep Saturday morning free and go searching.

[steve shearer]

seeing as the surf has been bumping along the bottom at around a foot for the last three weeks that won't be hard Craig

[Donweather]

Yep that low over near the North Island will produce one of the better swells of the last few weeks. Keep Saturday morning free and go searching.

Unfortunately, the bloody peak of the swell looks to occur pre dawn, and as I said above, every surfer within 300km of the coast will be flocking to a beach near you on Saturday morning as we've not had any surf for 3-4 weeks now!!!

[Donweather]

yeah, I've been noticing that too Don. will try and riff on it today if I get a chance.

Actually, both long range GFS and EC are painting a pretty good picture for this system at the moment....but I'm not holding my breath

ties in with a few things relating to what seems to be a weakening El Nino signal.

I'm not sure it's weakening Steve....those super long range charts of constant back to back W'ly winds are painting a very bleak picture of a long hot dry Spring in these parts.....all pointing to a strengthening El Nino IMO.

[Donweather]

Whats the prediction for this sunday fellas? Im thinkin it looks perfect for a trip out side fishing?

Will be some mid range S'ly swell in the water outside on Sunday mate, so not sure how that will go in the boat?

[oldman]

I predict we'll go from the worst winter in recent memory to an equally tragic spring.

FWIW, which is pretty much farking nothing, I'm inclined to agree about Spring, but calling this winter the worst in recent memory indicates that your memory is shit SS.

Hasn't been great, but we had late summer type north coast NSW/SE qld type lows into June, I'm pretty sure about that because some bloke on realsurf started a thread called something like "La Nina refuses to leave the building" and he was frothing about how we were getting these east and nor east swells out of season, and up until a couple of weeks ago there was a succession of the standard winter lows doing their usual thing.

Admittedly, most of those didn't line up perfectly and most of them had the not unusual characteristic of being onshore so that the window of surf was probably smaller than expected.

But worst winter in recent memory!!!!!

Coldest Sydney winter in recent memory I'll go with.

Cheers.

[Donweather]

Hmmmm.....so long its not got a mid strength southerly wind as company, has it? I was thinkin/hope calm winds early?

I was thinking light-moderate SW/S winds inshore early, tending moderate, perhaps the odd fresh gust S/SE later in the morning.

[tiger]

Mon-tues be better Fong. Winds should be light during AM.

Dawn bite, with tide turn mid morn give a few windows of activity.

[steve shearer]

using plackies yet?

[OddaP]

Well at least I got a wave today. Had to scarper early for the tablelands but it felt like the forecast east had not arrived this morning.

[steve shearer]

twas a hoax.

[OddaP]

Glad I had to scarper. Something unseemly about frothing over (just) 2 footers on a cold September morning. Desperate times ay.

[steve shearer]

god yes

[tiger]

OK Fong I'll let ya know this arvo what the go is, but I'm "angling" for tmrw.

I thought you knew the no bait rule on my boat? It's environment destroying plackies all the way.

BTW, saw a dugong in the river a few weeks back.

[steve shearer]

get some nuclear chicken inta ya Fongy