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Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 8:05 am
by steve shearer
Correct animation?

Thats just a sea height prog chart based on GFS data.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 9:15 am
by Cranked
Only "correct" because above I gave a link to the Pacific instead of the Indian ocean animations.
steve shearer wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 8:05 am
Thats just a sea height prog chart based on GFS data.
I know, but it gives a clear dynamic visual image of the typical swell movement paths and decay: that is primarily to the E, less to the ENE (Perth to Qhoba), even less to the NE (Bali) and very little to the NNE (Ments).

As an aside I believe the primary factor in swell forecasting is the same as for weather forecasting, that is computing power. I think the relationship is something like if you double the processing power you can add 10% to the forecast accuracy.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 11:10 am
by steve shearer
what do I need to pay to get into Indo Cranked?

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 11:15 am
by Yuke Hunt
steve shearer wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 11:10 am
what do I need to pay to get into Indo Cranked?
Just your dignity ?

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 11:59 am
by Cranked
steve shearer wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 11:10 am
what do I need to pay to get into Indo Cranked?
They issue a 30 day visa on arrival for free so there's nothing to pay.
If you have more than 3 boards they might try to argue you are importing them to sell.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 12:01 pm
by Cranked
Make sure you have a clean page in your passport, if not you'll be refused entry. Offering lots of cash may help, sometimes not.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 12:07 pm
by cedric
At least 6 mths left on Passport before Expiry Date as well.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 12:51 pm
by Drailed
steve shearer wrote:
Fri Sep 14, 2018 4:31 pm
Surf-forecast on Wed says Iceland, which looks like one of the most exposed reefs in the Mentawaiis is less than 400kj all day.
Ulus peaks at just under 4000kj on the same day.

That surely can't be right.


Maybe it is?

Does Bali get that much more swell than the Ments?
I surfed Icelands at 8ft where nearby breaks were 4. It really picks up swell. Not just a directional thing.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:16 pm
by steve shearer
Cheers Cranked and Cedric

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 3:39 pm
by Nick Carroll
a) Iceland barely breaks at 8'
b) It's a long interval spot, it dwindles when the interval drops below 17sec.

Not a great guide to the average surf size in the Mentawai chain. There's hundreds of spots up there facing every which way. Iceland's neighbour Teles is a better guide.

I dunno about the retard copy cat forecast sites but that was some good wind around the low near Heard Island a couple days ago, should be fun as shit. Lance's left in that swell angle v charming.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 3:43 pm
by Beanpole
Drailed wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 12:51 pm


I surfed Icelands at 8ft where nearby breaks were 4. It really picks up swell. Not just a directional thing.
Nick Carroll wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 3:39 pm
a) Iceland barely breaks at 8'
b) It's a long interval spot, it dwindles when the interval drops below 17sec.
:-o

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 3:49 pm
by steve shearer
I've started using lances left as the proxy spot to check.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 4:08 pm
by Drailed
Beanpole wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 3:43 pm
Drailed wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 12:51 pm


I surfed Icelands at 8ft where nearby breaks were 4. It really picks up swell. Not just a directional thing.
Nick Carroll wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 3:39 pm
a) Iceland barely breaks at 8'
:-o
Its cool, I must have been completely wrong, as were the people who had been living and surfing there for 10 years.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 4:15 pm
by Nick Carroll
Drailed wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 4:08 pm
Beanpole wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 3:43 pm
Drailed wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 12:51 pm


I surfed Icelands at 8ft where nearby breaks were 4. It really picks up swell. Not just a directional thing.
Nick Carroll wrote:
Sat Sep 15, 2018 3:39 pm
a) Iceland barely breaks at 8'
:-o
Its cool, I must have been completely wrong, as were the people who had been living and surfing there for 10 years.
yeah you were.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 4:23 pm
by steve shearer
Don't bring squabbling into this thread please gents.
This is a holy thread where people are kind.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 4:24 pm
by Drailed
Carroll proven get again that even though he has dedicated his life to surfing, he is still a bit of a kook.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 4:25 pm
by steve shearer
I think Nick might know a thing or two about the Mentawaiis Loof.

Re: Mentawai quiver.

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 4:26 pm
by steve shearer
How much beer should I take out Loof?