Just general surfing stuff

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alakaboo
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by alakaboo » Wed Jan 05, 2022 2:45 pm

You're bang on, it won't affect Golden Beach.
But further south than I was expecting.

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Trev
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by Trev » Wed Jan 05, 2022 2:52 pm

alakaboo wrote:
Wed Jan 05, 2022 2:45 pm
You're bang on, it won't affect Golden Beach.
But further south than I was expecting.
There was a washover here a year or two ago and everyone panicked then.

There's footage of the Coastguard vessel going out through there yesterday. 2.5m depth right across the channel and nice little lefts and rights happening. :B
Pretty amazing to think that three days ago it was solid.

The pics actually don't do it justice. To stand on the shoreline and look across it's pretty spectacular.
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by alakaboo » Wed Jan 05, 2022 3:02 pm

Just wait until the bar shifts there and you can walk from Bulcock.

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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by Yuke Hunt » Thu Jan 06, 2022 6:09 am

Great edit of Seth by Like Sorensen ...

https://www.lukesorensen.com.au/cyclone ... ehZZFME5f4
The moving finger writes and having writ moves on ... now all thy piety nor wit shall lure it back to cancel even half a line ... nor all thy tears wash out a single word of it.

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Cranked
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by Cranked » Thu Jan 06, 2022 7:29 am

Awesome!
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Beanpole
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by Beanpole » Thu Jan 06, 2022 7:36 am

Mitchell Rae posted some footage on the Outer Island Facebook page of someone getting an insane barrel at Kirra on one of his 8’ mal shapes.
Eat some steak and stop being a whiny little cnut.

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foamy
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by foamy » Thu Jan 06, 2022 7:40 am

alakaboo wrote:
Wed Jan 05, 2022 3:02 pm
Just wait until the bar shifts there and you can walk from Bulcock.
Do you consider this likely?

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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by alakaboo » Thu Jan 06, 2022 12:10 pm

Long term, yes.
The canal estates near Trev shifted the tidal prism balance, and the entrance was historically a few hundred metres south.

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foamy
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by foamy » Thu Jan 06, 2022 12:39 pm

What is long term in this instance? 15 years, 50 years…….?

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Trev
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by Trev » Thu Jan 06, 2022 1:19 pm

alakaboo wrote:
Thu Jan 06, 2022 12:10 pm
Long term, yes.
The canal estates near Trev shifted the tidal prism balance, and the entrance was historically a few hundred metres south.
I thought the canal development was only about 30 years old.
Beanpole wrote
You aren’t the room Yuke. You are just a wonky cafe table with a missing rubber pad on the end of one leg.

Skipper wrote
I still don't buy the "official" narrative about 9/11. Oh sure, it happened, fcuk yeah. Aweful. But who and why and how I'm, personally, not convinced it was what we've been told.

alakaboo
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by alakaboo » Thu Jan 06, 2022 1:27 pm

Could be before April with a decent La Nina.
Could be 20 years, but I would think less.
There's not that much sand north of there but it depends how the ebb tide delta responds. It could build up more of an island but retain the current bar location.

Yes Trev, the whole passage has had greater flow rates since then, part of the reason why it was getting eroded from the inside.

BMT WBM have done modelling, Matt Barnes did some of the work.
Not sure how much of it was made public.

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foamy
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by foamy » Fri Jan 07, 2022 8:29 am

A very enjoyable report by Nick on the Cyclone Seth swell. Great photos. Interesting to read that the paddlers vs jet ski crew seem to have come to a territorial arrangement at Kirra.

https://www.surfline.com/surf-news/big- ... 022/141156

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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by Beanpole » Fri Jan 07, 2022 8:31 am

Yeah, read some of that. Looks good from the photos. I will watch when we get back to Sydney.
Eat some steak and stop being a whiny little cnut.

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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by Cranked » Fri Jan 07, 2022 8:52 am

foamy wrote:
Fri Jan 07, 2022 8:29 am
A very enjoyable report by Nick on the Cyclone Seth swell. Great photos. Interesting to read that the paddlers vs jet ski crew seem to have come to a territorial arrangement at Kirra.

https://www.surfline.com/surf-news/big- ... 022/141156
Great read, great pics!

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Trev
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by Trev » Fri Jan 07, 2022 10:23 am

alakaboo wrote:
Wed Jan 05, 2022 2:45 pm
You're bang on, it won't affect Golden Beach.
But further south than I was expecting.
Hope this link works. A USC expert.

https://www.sunshinecoastnews.com.au/20 ... fications/
Beanpole wrote
You aren’t the room Yuke. You are just a wonky cafe table with a missing rubber pad on the end of one leg.

Skipper wrote
I still don't buy the "official" narrative about 9/11. Oh sure, it happened, fcuk yeah. Aweful. But who and why and how I'm, personally, not convinced it was what we've been told.

alakaboo
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by alakaboo » Fri Jan 07, 2022 11:45 am

He does good work.

I will qualify my previous statement a bit. Golden Beach won't immediately get surf or get washed away within 2 years, like some of the local groups think.

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Trev
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by Trev » Fri Jan 07, 2022 12:02 pm

alakaboo wrote:
Fri Jan 07, 2022 11:45 am
He does good work.

I will qualify my previous statement a bit. Golden Beach won't immediately get surf or get washed away within 2 years, like some of the local groups think.
I had a think through your earlier explanation about the canals and I can see how all the extra water stored in the canals (and they've just added a whole extra network of them between Pelican Waters shopping centre and Bells Creek), rushing through the one outlet near the Power Boat Club would have a serious impact on erosion on the inside of Bribie just north of there.
It would have the effect of pushing the natural outflow from further up the passage towards the east.

BTW, the gap is widening daily.
Beanpole wrote
You aren’t the room Yuke. You are just a wonky cafe table with a missing rubber pad on the end of one leg.

Skipper wrote
I still don't buy the "official" narrative about 9/11. Oh sure, it happened, fcuk yeah. Aweful. But who and why and how I'm, personally, not convinced it was what we've been told.

Yuke Hunt
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Re: Just general surfing stuff

Post by Yuke Hunt » Fri Jan 07, 2022 2:27 pm

Trev wrote:
Fri Jan 07, 2022 12:02 pm
pushing the natural outflow from further up the passage towards the east.

BTW, the gap is widening daily.
Again, the poo thread.
The moving finger writes and having writ moves on ... now all thy piety nor wit shall lure it back to cancel even half a line ... nor all thy tears wash out a single word of it.

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