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Re: Summer

Posted: Tue Jan 30, 2018 10:35 am
by Nick Carroll
No no Yuke Hunt, it's all right. I have already accepted my Fate. I will approach this swell Samurai-style, knowing I'm basically already dead.

Re: Summer

Posted: Tue Jan 30, 2018 11:17 am
by Trev
Nick,
RUOK?

Re: Summer

Posted: Tue Jan 30, 2018 11:49 am
by Nick Carroll
God yes. I feel cleansed of the burdens of mortality.

Re: Summer

Posted: Tue Jan 30, 2018 7:35 pm
by steve shearer
You're off your rocker Carroll.

TC Fehi is a rapidly weakening system racing through the swell window.....if I see a 6 foot wave tomorrow I'll personally cart you via rickshaw to Berts and shout you Siberian caviar and blinis.

From the latest JTWC update: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (FEHI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 206 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 16
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY WEAKENING SYSTEM WITH A FULLY EXPOSED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH HIGHLY SHEARED CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY, AND ONLY WEAK CONVECTIVE BANDS SPIRALING INTO THE LLCC.
THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE
MULTSPECTRAL IMAGERY LOOP AND IS SUPPORTED BY 292230Z ASMU-B 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTING A VERY WEAK, EXPOSED LLCC WITH LIMITED
CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 35 KNOTS, BASED ON MULTI-AGENCY
DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.0 (30 KNOTS) AND HEDGED
SLIGHTLY HIGHER BASED ON A 292232Z SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATING A
COUPLE 40 KNOT WIND BARBS JUST EAST OF THE LLCC.


THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE RAPIDLY
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE
EAST, AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD, BECOMING EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND
COMPLETING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 36. TC FEHI WILL
INTENSITY SLIGHTLY AS IT UNDERGOES ETT, PEAKING AT 40 KNOTS BY TAU
24. AVAILABLE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK
FORECAST.

Re: Summer

Posted: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:42 pm
by black duck
Image
Still, looks ok at the moment

Re: Summer

Posted: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:48 pm
by swvic
Love that website

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 8:23 am
by steve shearer
It's a clean 3 foot here, buried under a high tide.

Gunna be a long way to go if the hipsters are going to get washed away at the Pass.

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 8:46 am
by Nick Carroll
this evening/tomorrow.

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 8:53 am
by swvic
Isn't the southerly fcuking up the fetch?

Current from same site BD posted above

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/w ... 00,-32.457

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 10:08 am
by Nick Carroll
alternatively you could go up to Burleigh this morning, looks seriously good there right now

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 11:15 am
by marauding mullet
Looks good up Trev's way

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 12:55 pm
by Grooter
Melbourne. 40 degrees with high humidity one day, 19 degrees and rain the next!

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 2:41 pm
by alakaboo
What a shithole.

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 2:51 pm
by steve shearer
fcuk yeah.


I sat under a pandanus tree and watched a fun and completely empty lineup because I didn't want to sit out there alone.
3ft wedges, blue water, sunshine.

Finally x and y paddled out and I joined. It was 2-3ft then a 5-6ft set every hour. One single 4-6ft wave then nothing. Back to 3ft.
Then a 12 wave 6foot set that cleaned up the entire lineup. Then an hour lull.

Fun, albeit frustrating. It was a like a second hand lawnmower roaring to life then spluttering and dying in the arse.

Still looks exactly the same now. Maybe smaller.

I can't see 12 ft surf from the E and maybe even 6ft might be a stretch.


That 12 wave set might have even been it.

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 3:00 pm
by buddy
Yesterday
steve shearer wrote:
Tue Jan 30, 2018 7:35 pm
You're off your rocker Carroll.

TC Fehi is a rapidly weakening system racing through the swell window.....if I see a 6 foot wave tomorrow I'll personally cart you via rickshaw to Berts and shout you Siberian caviar and blinis.

Today
steve shearer wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2018 2:51 pm

Finally x and y paddled out and I joined. It was 2-3ft then a 5-6ft set every hour. One single 4-6ft wave then nothing. Back to 3ft.
Then a 12 wave 6foot set that cleaned up the entire lineup. Then an hour lull.

Bon appétit, Nicko.

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 3:18 pm
by steve shearer
I meant that post to have the opposite meaning but i guess by the letter of the law I did hoist myself on my own petard.

Did you slice off a piece of the action Buddy?

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 3:21 pm
by buddy
Had a great day yesterday and a quick one early this morn. Was debating driving south this arvo but my mate said it's blown out. Probably lying.

Re: Summer

Posted: Wed Jan 31, 2018 3:31 pm
by Trev
marauding mullet wrote:
Wed Jan 31, 2018 11:15 am
Looks good up Trev's way
National Park today.
5 hours.

Not too busy.