winter fourteen

What surfer doesn't care about the weather? Who hasn't predicted the arrival of a new swell? Do all of it here!

Moderators: Butts, Shari, collnarra, Forum Moderators

Post Reply
LPJ
Grommet
Posts: 75
Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2014 2:12 pm

Re: winter fourteen

Post by LPJ » Mon Jun 16, 2014 10:24 am

Yes Braithy, point taken. That's why I'm asking here if anyone else has any noticed ECLs in any long range charts at all?

BTW, you only have to pay for the 16day surf forecast. The charts are free.

LPJ
Grommet
Posts: 75
Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2014 2:12 pm

Re: winter fourteen

Post by LPJ » Mon Jun 16, 2014 10:37 am

it's been vaporised already

User avatar
SAsurfa
barnacle
Posts: 1391
Joined: Sat Apr 29, 2006 1:18 am
Location: 20 hours drive away..

Re: winter fourteen

Post by SAsurfa » Mon Jun 16, 2014 11:19 am

Hi guys, the 16-day forecast has its strengths and weaknesses, all mainly depending on which coast you're looking at.

For Indo, Cloudbreak, Teahupoo, WA and any other west facing coast that receives long-range groundswell it's great.

If you also work in the movement of the Long Wave Trough and where it may be positioned in a weeks time, you can get an idea on a period of heightened swell activity even further out. Like this forecast for Teahupoo which was written on the 9th of August, 18 days before the Code Red swell hit on the 27th.. https://www.swellnet.com/news/swellnet- ... bout-break

For a dynamic region like the Australian East Coast it becomes useful when looking at easterly groundswells from stationary high pressure ridges and easterly trade-flow setups across New Zealand/Western Pacific.

For the East Coast you're better off looking at trends and if it starts continually picking a certain swell days out that's when you'd start to become more confident in it eventuating.

The forecast model is global and to limit the forecast length at certain locations compared to others isn't really an option.

User avatar
crabmeat thompson
Huey's Right Hand
Posts: 25285
Joined: Tue Jul 27, 2010 3:57 pm
Location: good fanks

Re: winter fourteen

Post by crabmeat thompson » Mon Jun 16, 2014 1:05 pm

LPJ wrote:it's been vaporised already
Well, I am stunned. Seabreeze wouldn't have broken your heart like this.
steve shearer wrote:
Sat Mar 03, 2018 8:31 am
You are both absorbing salt and urinating.

User avatar
el rancho
Duke Status
Posts: 12544
Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 11:22 am
Location: taking a shit in the dunes

Re: winter fourteen

Post by el rancho » Mon Jun 16, 2014 8:36 pm

Perfect sand bottom point break waves all arvo. For its size a 9/10. My thighs nearly gave out one wave, finally closed out in front of cooly hotel. stupid stuff.

User avatar
Trev
Huey's Right Hand
Posts: 23423
Joined: Mon Feb 23, 2004 3:11 pm
Location: Any Point Break

Re: winter fourteen

Post by Trev » Mon Jun 16, 2014 9:52 pm

'twas happening up here, too.
#sixfeetissixfeet!

User avatar
steve shearer
Huey's Right Hand
Posts: 28245
Joined: Mon Oct 13, 2008 8:20 pm

Re: winter fourteen

Post by steve shearer » Tue Jun 17, 2014 7:18 am

the nearshore bathymetry gradient is fcuking nutz right now.

sand slugs 'til the end of time.

to be honest, and you can kick me in the nutz for this Braithy, I'm getting a bit sick of it and am starting to yearn for a deckchair clearing storm swell.
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

User avatar
crabmeat thompson
Huey's Right Hand
Posts: 25285
Joined: Tue Jul 27, 2010 3:57 pm
Location: good fanks

Re: winter fourteen

Post by crabmeat thompson » Tue Jun 17, 2014 7:55 am

Unaustralian.
steve shearer wrote:
Sat Mar 03, 2018 8:31 am
You are both absorbing salt and urinating.

User avatar
el rancho
Duke Status
Posts: 12544
Joined: Wed Aug 19, 2009 11:22 am
Location: taking a shit in the dunes

Re: winter fourteen

Post by el rancho » Tue Jun 17, 2014 12:12 pm

Trev wrote:'twas happening up here, too.
I love sunny coast during winter

Donweather
Harry the Hat
Posts: 2599
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2008 9:29 pm

Re: winter fourteen

Post by Donweather » Tue Jun 17, 2014 1:26 pm

steve shearer wrote:to be honest, and you can kick me in the nutz for this Braithy, I'm getting a bit sick of it and am starting to yearn for a deckchair clearing storm swell.
Wash your fecking mouth out Steve!!!!

I scored some of this bathymetry this morning but it also scored me. Got pole axed straight into the shallow sandbar on a decent 4fter and it drove me knees first straight down into the sand, so much so I cannot walk due to me left knee totally fecked (swollen and bruised behind the knee cap). I may actually be out of the water for some time now!!!! Hope not. Will try some anti inflams tonight to see if that assist with me bearing weight on the knee. Otherwise it's off to the knee specialist for me unfortunately!!!

User avatar
steve shearer
Huey's Right Hand
Posts: 28245
Joined: Mon Oct 13, 2008 8:20 pm

Re: winter fourteen

Post by steve shearer » Tue Jun 17, 2014 1:40 pm

some of the sandbanks are captain insano.

only bugger is all my jewfish spots are sanded up to the gills.

I just want the sand cleared from the cliff lines and left at the point breaks.
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

alakaboo
Duke Status
Posts: 18851
Joined: Mon Nov 09, 2009 3:33 pm

Re: winter fourteen

Post by alakaboo » Tue Jun 17, 2014 1:55 pm

I feel your pain, Don.
Not literally, I'm finally pain free after Easter.

Some of the sessions I've had down near Steve's place have been crazy, the end section of some of the points must be about 30% sand and backless.

User avatar
Trev
Huey's Right Hand
Posts: 23423
Joined: Mon Feb 23, 2004 3:11 pm
Location: Any Point Break

Re: winter fourteen

Post by Trev » Tue Jun 17, 2014 2:29 pm

el rancho wrote:
Trev wrote:'twas happening up here, too.
I love sunny coast during winter
And again today. :B
#sixfeetissixfeet!

User avatar
steve shearer
Huey's Right Hand
Posts: 28245
Joined: Mon Oct 13, 2008 8:20 pm

Re: winter fourteen

Post by steve shearer » Wed Jun 18, 2014 11:22 am

Hello Fiji.
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

Nick Carroll
Huey's Right Hand
Posts: 23920
Joined: Tue Apr 05, 2005 9:29 am
Location: Newport Beach

Re: winter fourteen

Post by Nick Carroll » Wed Jun 18, 2014 12:03 pm

Old Baldy's there and sending smoke signals, the cnut.

User avatar
steve shearer
Huey's Right Hand
Posts: 28245
Joined: Mon Oct 13, 2008 8:20 pm

Re: winter fourteen

Post by steve shearer » Wed Jun 18, 2014 12:22 pm

wonder if he would have the moxie to miss J-Bay to surf macking CB again.
I want Nightclub Dwight dead in his grave I want the nice-nice up in blazes

Donweather
Harry the Hat
Posts: 2599
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2008 9:29 pm

Re: winter fourteen

Post by Donweather » Wed Jun 18, 2014 12:34 pm

The ironic part is that J Bay's been pumpin since the start of the Fiji comp, and we all know the CB surf was puss during the Fiji comp.

Will J Bay flounder and CB pump during the J Bay comp?

Donweather
Harry the Hat
Posts: 2599
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2008 9:29 pm

Re: winter fourteen

Post by Donweather » Thu Jun 19, 2014 1:12 pm

steve shearer wrote:Hello Fiji.
Gee, lucky I didn't book my flights already!!!! :cry:

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest