SPRING

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steve shearer
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Re: SPRING

Post by steve shearer » Mon Oct 07, 2013 1:29 pm

Donweather wrote:Byron (and SE Qld) buoys not showing any temps up around the 23/24 deg mark Steve (nor any dramatic rise)?

http://www.bom.gov.au/oceanography/fore ... forecast=1#

the main eddy is south of Cape Byron.
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steve shearer
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Re: SPRING

Post by steve shearer » Tue Oct 08, 2013 8:04 am

Lot of ducks have to line up for that to happen.
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Re: SPRING

Post by OddaP » Thu Oct 10, 2013 6:35 pm

Cuffs Bouy showing 23 degs already. Inshore temps nice as well.

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steve shearer
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Re: SPRING

Post by steve shearer » Tue Oct 15, 2013 11:35 am

signs of life in the SPCZ.

models showing tradewinds and a broad area of tropical low pressure E of the Solomons.

GFS might have jumped the shark progging a TC to develop and track SE.

would b early but consistent with super SOI's at the moment.

it's a neutral pattern with schizophrenic tendencies.
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Re: SPRING

Post by Donweather » Tue Oct 15, 2013 12:47 pm

Some damn impressive swell and swell periods in the water this morning.

Certainly came in well over my expectations!!!

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steve shearer
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Re: SPRING

Post by steve shearer » Wed Oct 16, 2013 7:23 am

what do you think of these upcoming/imminent tropical developments Don?

I'm talking to myself in here.

I'm intrigued by that rapid-fire trough system that forms off the NSW coast Fri......perhaps in response to warm SST's along the NSW coast.

might not get much surf off it but it could be a significant precursor sign for summer.
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Re: SPRING

Post by Donweather » Wed Oct 16, 2013 10:46 pm

Sorry Steve, I'm on the road at the moment (actually in your home town tonight and then Iluka tomorrow) so don't have a computer with me (only my crappy bberry phone) so can't really check all the charts et al.

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Re: SPRING

Post by crabmeat thompson » Thu Oct 17, 2013 4:39 pm

You should get Steve to take you out on a night on the tiles, Don.
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steve shearer
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Re: SPRING

Post by steve shearer » Thu Oct 17, 2013 8:07 pm

i don't boogie with engineers.

unless they are buying
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Re: SPRING

Post by channels » Fri Oct 18, 2013 8:03 am

Anyone care to put an explanation to Sydney for yesterday and today? Thursday morning, weak and dribbly, coupled with 40 knots of offshore gusts and nothing really to speak of on the charts. By days end had materialised into 3- 4 foot of East/nor east swell that is still looking the goods today.

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Re: SPRING

Post by Donweather » Fri Oct 18, 2013 12:56 pm

That would be due to the decent fetch of N/NE winds just off the east coast Thursday.

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steve shearer
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Re: SPRING

Post by steve shearer » Sun Oct 20, 2013 11:30 am

that trough was nice.
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Re: SPRING

Post by Yuke Hunt » Sun Oct 20, 2013 12:55 pm

steve shearer wrote:that trough was nice.
Yeah ... well next time you go swimming at the gay mardi gras remember not to eat all the lollies ... again.
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steve shearer
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Re: SPRING

Post by steve shearer » Thu Oct 31, 2013 1:15 pm

hello sailor for early next week.

where's Oldman. He normally shows up at this point and claims best spring ever.

also, hello sailor for the south china sea and then Phillos, hello sailor for the North Pac and hello sailor for Europe and Puerto Rico, Caribbean.
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steve shearer
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Re: SPRING

Post by steve shearer » Mon Nov 04, 2013 8:31 am

that's a fair call. things do seem a bit ahead of schedule. by a month or so.
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Re: SPRING

Post by Donweather » Sat Nov 09, 2013 8:20 pm

Interesting week of weather coming up for SE QLD/Nth NSW!!! Current GFS forecast is painting an interesting picture for Toowoomba.

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steve shearer
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Re: SPRING

Post by steve shearer » Mon Nov 11, 2013 7:20 am

what are u seeing Don?
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Re: SPRING

Post by Donweather » Mon Nov 11, 2013 8:13 am

steve shearer wrote:what are u seeing Don?
The potential for flash flooding with these severe storms this week. GFS painting an interesting picture for late this weekend/early next week also but confidence is low on this ATM.

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