autumn

What surfer doesn't care about the weather? Who hasn't predicted the arrival of a new swell? Do all of it here!

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steve shearer
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Re: autumn

Post by steve shearer » Wed May 08, 2013 6:08 am

This last swell cycle delivered nicely around here as that low stalled near the South Island, looks like the next system will do the same with a bonus SE/NW retrograde back into the Tasman........that angle, SSE/SE, makes long-lined music around here.

That's the pattern....of more interest is the progged low pressure formation in the Vanautu/North Island corridor and it's potential directional movement from NE to SW. That broadscale pattern is the favoured one for big clean E swells as late season tropical heat in the SPCZ rebalances via extra-tropical low pressure formation.
July 2001 was the model.
May 2011 delivered bigtime too.


watch this space.
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Beanpole
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Re: autumn

Post by Beanpole » Wed May 08, 2013 9:48 pm

I really love the fact that some random but sometimes predictable weather patterns can alter my mood in such a major way. Bummer when you miss it though.
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Re: autumn

Post by Scroty » Thu May 09, 2013 8:30 am

Beanpole wrote:I really love the fact that some random but sometimes predictable weather patterns can alter my mood in such a major way. Bummer when you miss it though.
No so predictable this week, the weekend forecast has changed dramatically over the last 2 days.
On the plus side, I was worried about tactics to use to get out for a surf on mothers day.

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Re: autumn

Post by Donweather » Thu May 09, 2013 12:40 pm

Steve, I go away this time every year to pretty much the same location (in NSW) and I have to say that this year, the water was incredibly warm compared to all of the previous times we have been.

What's your thoughts on this and what sign do you think this is for the late Autumn/upcoming Winter swell seasons?

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Re: autumn

Post by alakaboo » Thu May 09, 2013 2:35 pm

Well I'll be out of the water until late June, so I predict it will absolutely crank

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Re: autumn

Post by alakaboo » Thu May 09, 2013 2:49 pm

Minor shoulder problem now, then OS trip, then wife away for work so on kid duty

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steve shearer
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Re: autumn

Post by steve shearer » Thu May 09, 2013 7:17 pm

Took the lures out today for the first time Boo.

Got five tailor.

ten fillets, weighing in somewhere between 1200-1300grams. $20-25 bucks worth of fish.

Those things are worth their weight in gold.
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Re: autumn

Post by alakaboo » Thu May 09, 2013 7:20 pm

Good to hear. I kept a couple for myself.

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steve shearer
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Re: autumn

Post by steve shearer » Thu May 09, 2013 7:40 pm

you've got some really good tailor spots near you.

Image

5 bucks from BigW. Have to be this colour.
Shallow divers work too.

Metals work as well but I mostly fish the tides and not the time of day now, hence you need to work the deeper parts of the water column.

I use poppers at dawn in the washes. Should be A grade popper conditions tomorrow.
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Re: autumn

Post by alakaboo » Thu May 09, 2013 8:09 pm

steve shearer wrote:I mostly fish the tides and not the time of day now
Really?
Conventional wisdom where I learnt to fish was that anything after 730am was a waste of time for apex pelagics off the rocks. What time of day/tide did you get that longtail?

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steve shearer
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Re: autumn

Post by steve shearer » Fri May 10, 2013 7:18 am

I got that longtail at 11.15am.
Fishing the tides.

I'm not going to say what tides because I don't want these spots suddenly infested with beer drinking rednecks from Casino.

It was SE 15-20knots. One of those crappy days with heavy rain squalls.

I've caught more tailor at midday than dawn in the last twelve months.

Double figures on jewfish on lures (in the last 12 months) since I started fishing the tides properly.
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Re: autumn

Post by alakaboo » Fri May 10, 2013 9:33 am

I mainly meant casting metals and poppers for mackerel off the rocks.
I haven't done much serious casting of hard bodies, tbh.
Might have to reassess my approach.

I fish the tides off the beach and in the creeks.

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steve shearer
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Re: autumn

Post by steve shearer » Fri May 10, 2013 9:36 am

I caught the tuna on a 65g Raider.

Got another tuna (mack tuna) about 6kg couple weeks ago at 1pm on a metal.

It's all a learning curve.
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Re: autumn

Post by alakaboo » Fri May 10, 2013 11:37 am

And the spoils for those who adapt and target are getting more concentrated.
Used to be, any dickhead could catch a feed of fish.

Same thing in surfing.

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Re: autumn

Post by Donweather » Fri May 10, 2013 12:17 pm

Donweather wrote:Steve, I go away this time every year to pretty much the same location (in NSW) and I have to say that this year, the water was incredibly warm compared to all of the previous times we have been.

What's your thoughts on this and what sign do you think this is for the late Autumn/upcoming Winter swell seasons?
Steve, excuse this interruption on the fishing thread, but I'd greatly appreciate your thoughts on this one please?

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steve shearer
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Re: autumn

Post by steve shearer » Fri May 10, 2013 1:07 pm

Well it can only be considered powder and ammunition lying ready for any ECL's this season......and I note precursor ECL conditions upcoming.
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Re: autumn

Post by crabmeat thompson » Sat May 11, 2013 6:20 pm

You haven't thought this through shearer

... the beer drinking rednecks from casino might bring beefweek queens with them.

Notice the use of plurals.
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steve shearer
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Re: autumn

Post by steve shearer » Tue May 14, 2013 5:38 am

As we approach the predictability barrier for the ENSO state we are faced with a fascinating state. A sort of quasi Nina, with high chances for a negative IOD.
Wet winter?
ECL filled winter ala 2007?
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