TC Freda

[Donweather]

Good Morning TC Freda!!!

Looks like local winds are again gonna be the x factor with swell from this girl..................

[steve shearer]

wow, lots to like about this system, with numerable curve balls implicit in the macro to micro conversion.

[crabmeat thompson]

Did somebody say implicit macro balls?

I'm there.

[steve shearer]

bring cold beer and a positive attitude

[crabmeat thompson]

The only attitude I have is positive, and my wine is best at room temperature.

[steve shearer]

wine snobs will be shown the cellar door.

[crabmeat thompson]

Can't we all just get along? If not for ourselves, but for the children?!!

[crabmeat thompson]

Yeah. The current chart I'm looking at it will. Long lulls in between 3-4 foot sets at the peak.

Even I should get some rogue 2-foot action ...

[pirate_agenda]

Any of you weather nerds got half a clue if it will get to the south coast (of NSW) ?

depends on how long it hangs around for. one of the models has it hanging west of new caledonia for a few days which would light up the whole NSW coast for a few days late next week... so i read!

The initial pulse won't get into sydney, but may show up further south.

[oldman]

Nice introduction to 2013.

Rron, there might be some south swell as well to mix things up a bit down south.

Either way, there is going to be swell in the water for more than just a few days, but at this stage not so sure about the winds being favourable.

Ah well, I'll take what I can get.

[Nick Carroll]

Can't we all just get along? If not for ourselves, but for the children?!!

Fcuken hell, they just had Christmas. Fcuk 'em! Little blighters. It's our turn. And that means pointless bickering at every opportunity

[Roy_Stewart]

[brendo]

Any of you weather nerds got half a clue if it will get to the south coast (of NSW) ?

depends on how long it hangs around for. one of the models has it hanging west of new caledonia for a few days which would light up the whole NSW coast for a few days late next week... so i read!

The initial pulse won't get into sydney, but may show up further south.

looks like new cal is gunna get belted by it. and take note captian feathersword....its not so much the cyclone that produces the swell, its the high that cradles it and the lenght of the fetch with it

[Donweather]

its not so much the cyclone that produces the swell, its the high that cradles it and the lenght of the fetch with it

To be honest Brendo, the high that's cradling it is not really producing that much in the initial swell. It's more so the S'ly track of the cyclone that has the core strength fetch working on the active sea state to produce the strong NE swell. The high really only comes into play as the ex TC heads SE towards NZ as it passes below New Cal and the swell swings more E'ly in direction.

[Nick Carroll]

Yeah, if that thing stays west of NZ when it goes extra tropical and hits a ridging high coming off NSW, it's gonna have a second life that'll make the first look like KS's wave pool idea.

One set of progs has it doing exactly that. Sometimes I wonder if the progs are operated by an optimistic surfer though.

[crabmeat thompson]

Freda sounds like a generous lady.

... And with that surmise, I'm buying an air ticket back to the fabled land.

[tiger]

Hasn't there already been a cyclone Freda? And no, I'm not talking about Freda Zamba! I wasn't aware that they used the same names twice. Perhaps the other 1 I'm thinking of was named in aus waters.

Regardless, I'm pretty fcuken excited about surf prospects this week! Hope everyone goes on massive benders for NYE. Should at least keep a few away for the early.

[tiger]

Scratch that, just checked a list of cyclones named in aus waters. And it wasn't there, maybe mixed up with Fran.

Spose I should lay off the crack.