steve shearer wrote:Hang on a cotton picking minute.
The Noosa Points can easily handle a Cat2/3 cyclone tracking within a few hundred kays of the coast(or even closer).
Have u forgotten Hamish already?
Roger?
Dinah? etc etc.
Way too early to be saying it is unsurfable......Noosa only really fires under these condys.
Double/triple OH Boiling Pot is unreal.
(as are other locations in that neck of the woods).
I'm thinking of making the trip.
Steve, haven't forgot Hamish at all. But Ului (based on current GFS forecast tracks) is packing weight above Hamish. Not so much in cyclone intensity, but more so in terms of longevity and cradling of the Tasman high. This sets up a pretty damn impressive NE fetch on the SE flank of Ului and due to it's current slow tracking forecast, the duration of the storm force winds over the compact fetch is forecast to generate 7m NE swells with periods in the 13-15sec range.
Archives show Hamish didn't quite have the slow moving nature and in fact he died out of puff as he rounded Fraser Island big time, and with the high to it's south not quite cradling it as much he created a 4.5-5m E/SE swell with periods of around 10-11 seconds.
Swell direction plays a big part with these closely formed storm swells and hence a larger NE swell will be imparting alot more energy into Noosa points when compared with a smaller, lower period E/SE direction swell.
A 7m@13-14 second NE swell will most certainly be larger than 6-8ft POT, and my point was not so much that this wont be surfable....but damn good luck to anyone trying to paddle out from the shore/rocks with that swell size, period and direction at Noosa.
) 
