August

[steve shearer]

Not traditionally one for the afficionados but as Don has pointed out the charts are looking insane.
Has anyone here seen a more active southern storm track for this time of year?
Now as to the deepening trough off the tropical qld coast....

[oldman]

I'd be interested in other's opinions. I have long associated this time of year with the wild and continuing westerlies, drying the very marrow out of your bones (for the Sydney-centric),

while your part of the world Steve gets these glorious sunny mild days. I used to get up to Grafton in August regularly for the Grafton Cup/Ramornie etc and the dishlickers, and the weather was always beautiful. It was like leaving winter behind a few weeks early.

While underneath oz these outrageous, tremendous lows traversed the southern ocean like giants guarding the entrance to antarctica.

The current charts seem to be different in that they may just be turning those lows to provide a northerly stream, just in the swell window between Tassie and NZ coincidentally.

So the storms don't seem so out of season as much as the angle they are turning. Again though, interested in others working on less anecdotal analysis than mine.

[steve shearer]

I used to get up to Grafton in August regularly for the Grafton Cup/Ramornie etc and the dishlickers, and the weather was always beautiful. It was like leaving winter behind a few weeks early.

While underneath oz these outrageous, tremendous lows traversed the southern ocean like giants guarding the entrance to antarctica.

Nice metaphor Olds......but giants are more stationary aren't they.

Also Grafton in August......that is evocative in itself.


Anecdotally I'd also associate August with westerlies but last August was insane for us here with constant very strong straight south swell.
This one is shaping up well.......after the stormtrack all winter being concentrated E to SE of NZ, now as you say we are seeing more activity in the Tasman sea.
I'd fcuking eat a pile of dogshitt to be in Fiji for the next 2 weeks or New Cal., or the Cooks or the S......
the Fiji met south-west pacific marine bulletin makes for mouth-watering reading.

[oldman]

Nice metaphor Olds......but giants are more stationary aren't they.

those things are so big and so powerful, can look like a huge cyclops eye

the Fiji met south-west pacific marine bulletin makes for mouth-watering reading.

Not having surf travelled much, it's hard for me to imagine what this stuff would look like when it hits fiji/islands. What is that, about 5000 + kms of travelling before hitting landfall, gives them plenty of time to line up and arrive in long period trains.

[Donweather]

I'd fcuking eat a pile of dogshitt to be in Fiji for the next 2 weeks or New Cal., or the Cooks or the S......

I was only saying this to a mate earlier in the week Steve, particularly the "S"......noting the damn impressive swell periods. Any idea on the local winds up that way this time of year Steve? Are there trades that consistently blow offshore in the land of the "S" this time of year, or is it similar to Northern Hemi winter and more light and variable until the imposition of the MJO traverses over?

Whoops, only just realised there's a few "S" locations and we may be talking about a different one. I was referring to the same country I visited earlier in the year, but on the southern hemi side!!!

[Donweather]

Now as to the deepening trough off the tropical qld coast....

Care to enlighten us on your thoughts for this one Steve? Is she gonna happen or merely a figment of the models imagination at present?

[Donweather]

Also I would have preferred if we kept this in the other thread "Huey is a Legend" as it seems to be working well. Everytime I post some nice words towards the old fella he seems to turn on the goods quite nicely.

[steve shearer]

Are there trades that consistently blow offshore in the land of the "S" this time of year, or is it similar to Northern Hemi winter and more light and variable until the imposition of the MJO traverses over?

Whoops, only just realised there's a few "S" locations and we may be talking about a different one. I was referring to the same country I visited earlier in the year, but on the southern hemi side!!!

I know a bloke who consistently goes there for these swell events.
He won't say much but he keeps going back.
Yes we are talking about the same place.

[Donweather]

Ya see what happens....you start a new thread talking about the charts and what happens.....poof.....the swell generating machine dissappears from them.....perhaps if we delete this thread and go back to the Huey is a Legend one, then the charts may resurrect the pretty girl in the 12z runs!!!

[One Mile Point]

August Burns Red

[Nick Carroll]

I reckon the whole thing is about to turn to shit.

SW Pacific about to be attacked by a severe case of Off Season Rubberiness.

Oldman's easterly fetch will give trev the two foot beachies he so keenly desires. Then vanish into the mid latitudes beyond NZ.

Blustery false northerlies to send water temps plummeting to spectacular lows.

West Oz to be slammed by fronts the likes of which King Neptune himself would prudently avoid in favour of a coupla weeks in Hamilton Island.

And Indonesia will continue to go completely nuts so Peely can continue his pursuit of the tube shot requested by shearer.

[LONGINUS]

Peely, nice shots of Bonga and the crew in the latest ALB by the way. I'm Telo bound next season - was most of that shoot at GT's?

[oldman]

..... a severe case of Off Season Rubberiness.

It has that look about it now Nick

[Donweather]

I reckon the whole thing is about to turn to shit.

SW Pacific about to be attacked by a severe case of Off Season Rubberiness.

Oldman's easterly fetch will give trev the two foot beachies he so keenly desires. Then vanish into the mid latitudes beyond NZ.

A little curious why you think it's about to turn to shit Nick? That semi-stationary high to the east of NZ, combined with a small area of low pressure on it's NW flank is likely to create a fairly good sized E'ly groundswell for early to mid next week (even for the vast majority of the east coast, including a NE groundswell for Tassie). Place this with current charts showing potentially offshore winds during this time, and I have to say that's a god send for us Qlders at this time of year.

Far from shit in my books?

[Trev]

Oldman's easterly fetch will give trev the two foot beachies he so keenly desires.

To quote a well known footy common-tater, "No no no-no no no"
Have no problem with 2 footers but not beachies. Points please.

[Donweather]

Any reason why no one's starting to get excited about the swell that's set to grace our shores early-mid next week? Has Unca Nick put a dampner on everyone's frothmeter?

Yeah sure you southern folk have seen some better waves of late, but for us here in SE Qld, it doesn't get much better than an inconsistent 4-5ft+ E'ly groundswell (at least) in August!!!! Yeah sure NW winds wont be doing the points any favours, but hey, I know several places that will be lovin a NW wind!!!

[otway1949]

My end of the NSW coast was known in the days of sail as the"Paddock" as you got belted and smashed through Bass strait by the roaring 40s you could turn left as you hit the Tasman sea and get past Gabo and Disaster Bay and the calm waters would feel like you've reached Eden.
We often see the southerly swell well out to sea slowly being refracted to come ashore north of Ulladulla
AAAArgh and a north - north east swell never hit Merimbula.
Good for this end south island NZ getting gale force smacked (back end of low ) just before the gale slips east of NZ.
July had this shape________________________________________________________________

[oldman]

Any reason why no one's starting to get excited about the swell that's set to grace our shores early-mid next week? Has Unca Nick put a dampner on everyone's frothmeter?

Hey Donw, (capo di tutti capi) it's a bit hard to get excited by next week's swell when the charts are so dynamic.

From Monday to this morning the charts have changed a lot, just about every run.

and while the low over the top of NZ looks like producing the goods, we may not see any of it, and you too, because the charts are now showing a pretty serious east coast low developing just off Byron, which will create a whole different scenario and some wild swell, winds and rain. Next week could be anything as this could change substantially between now and the weekend.

Shearer, get the umbrella out again, and maybe the kayak as well.