RealSurf Surfers' Forum

Cos we're gonna need it.

Tasman is (hopefully) growing another onion next week - the 4th in 3 weeks. Big crop this season, eh?

[img][img]http://i114.photobucket.com/albums/n245/stunet/4th.jpg[/img][/img]

So is this onion gonna eventuate and deliver more overhead pits?

We'll hold our breath and wait!

i was going to say to gargle a cup of salt and water

The 4th in 3 weeks.

How unusual is this

Is it potentially climate change related? (long bow I know but......)

Experienced weather persons pls comment.

it was similar may-jun last year. we forget so quickly. i remember because petrol was about 1.40$pL

Hey Reefer, eating underpants won't help from memory.

change the topic so ben from swellnet looks.

these every three day forcasts just dont cut it at this time of the year. i demand daily forcasts!!

kindly demand...

but if not...

well thanks anyway coz i love swellnet...

what kind of swell direction could sydney be looking at here?

i want some easterly stuff...

it all came when my exams were on and now im finished im hungry for my first waves in 3 weeks.

oh well...bali in two weeks

If Huey is planning a bbq, he would be better off waiting until the next day as far as the onion supply is concerned.



The Alps should get a rather large snowstorm if this develops. This season is shaping up to be a good'un, if you are that way inclined.

Hopefully it intensifies, but moves very slowly east and stalls...
Either way, it looks like this latest run of swell isn't about to end anytime soon

Salty wrote:How's the fetch on that system?? Man, the period would be up there in the mid teens for sure. Looks like the GC an even Sunshine Coast would cop it too. In fact, the whole Eastern seaboard will be firing if that shit comes off.

Sarcasm intended?

And Chris, if you look closely, Ben has slyly introduced daily updates on the 5 Day forecast, but still does the in depth analysis every two days. Doing in depth stuff every day would be overkill anyway.
Get out an old weather book and learn to read charts well, it is rather interesting stuff. You will quickly learn about swell development, directions, wind, etc, and this will help you score better waves more often.

yeah ......Chris , stop relying on swell forecasts and learn to read the map
yourself , you dope !

im not certain but im pretty sure the colour on that chart is just with regards to wave height not period.
Its pretty close to the coast so i dont know where its gona generate a long fetch to create a groundswell. And it doesnt really look like it is directed at the coast. Most likely if it did occur it would be more of this close proximity storm swell.. not that i would be complaining.

Beaver wrote:im not certain but im pretty sure the colour on that chart is just with regards to wave height not period.

it's precipitation, you know .. wet stuff.

that makes more sense.

its gonna be interesting if the Low moves of north and east.
Looks for now to be too close to the coast for sure, strong westerlies though

temperature8.6°C dew point2.7°C relative humidity66% feels like7.5°C wind
W 7km/h wind gusts13km/h pressure1012.3hPa and still rising

try chewing on something for your bad breath....like a young lady

Looks like this time next week we should get hit...

Wave Height:



Period:



Friday/Saturday (can't see this far into the future yet) may get above 25ft with period over 12 seconds...?

Wot ya reckon?

wanto wrote:it was similar may-jun last year. we forget so quickly. i remember because petrol was about 1.40$pL

Yeah Wanto, we had a heap o' swell last may-june.

But, nah Wanto, those swells came from various types of weather systems.

Wati was a TC that got a bit lost and drifted south. Firing up again off the NE tip of the N Island of NZ and belting us with long range east swell. Here's the chart just after it got demoted;

[img][img]http://i114.photobucket.com/albums/n245/stunet/Wati.jpg[/img][/img]

The big S that is probably best remembered by the 'Hammerheads' photos was a deep low in the far southern Tasman. That low sent us swell from a fairly rare part of our swell window. Seems we either get short & feisty ECL swells, or long-range and inconsistent swells from very distant polar lows. This one sparked up in a posi that gave us a decent fetch. The map below is when it first started to develop. The centre of the low drifted east and the high buttressed against it setting up a mighty fetch. Aimed straight at us.

[img][img]http://i114.photobucket.com/albums/n245 ... rheads.jpg[/img][/img]

There were a couple of others but I cant be arsed cutting and pasting anymore, and anyway I think the point is made (go check the BOM's archive's. Better than any photo album I tell ya).

I reckon the last three episodes (and this potential one) have an eerie similiarity. Just a big coincidink? Or greater forces at work? I'll leave that question to the eggheads.

So....Ben, Alex, O-man & B-man......come on down!!



Hey tmill009,

Given the choice I reckon I'd rather be at Gnarloo.

scroopulis wrote:Hey Reefer, eating underpants won't help from memory.

Hey Scroop,

The reggies can stay in the drawer for this one. Its a dead cert I tells ya.

You're all Trippin', it's too far in the future.

Since Reef2 has already been forced to devour his underwear, I suggest another piece of excessively personal clothing. Old footy sock perhaps.