Search found 1256 matches

by SAsurfa
Tue Aug 28, 2018 9:19 am
Forum: General surf discussion
Topic: Just general surfing stuff
Replies: 4746
Views: 352336

Re: Just general surfing stuff

Craig, if as you say, your swellnet model is also incorrect because of this anomoly, and you can recognise the model anomaly easily, this seems to indicate that the factors involved may be sufficient to enable you to code up a patch to recognise and correct the discepancy and modify the swellnet su...
by SAsurfa
Fri Aug 24, 2018 8:20 am
Forum: General surf discussion
Topic: Just general surfing stuff
Replies: 4746
Views: 352336

Re: Just general surfing stuff

That's what I'm pointing out Cranked, that jump is not natural and not what you'll see in real life, it's the models incorrectly combining the swells which I've learned to identify easily. This is also why those who look at just windguru etc and see 18s swell arriving with no size, but with an exist...
by SAsurfa
Thu Aug 23, 2018 5:03 pm
Forum: General surf discussion
Topic: Just general surfing stuff
Replies: 4746
Views: 352336

Re: Just general surfing stuff

so saying the forecast kJs are incorrect is the same as saying the swell height and/or period for the predominant swell are incorrect. Yes, I'm saying the models get this wrong plenty of times and this is when you'll get a wrong forecast. Tomorrow for example, we've got an existing SW swell across ...
by SAsurfa
Thu Aug 23, 2018 1:30 pm
Forum: General surf discussion
Topic: Just general surfing stuff
Replies: 4746
Views: 352336

Re: Just general surfing stuff

Wow what have I just read :o Kilojoules for wave forecasting.. a product of period and open ocean swell height which generally get incorrectly combined if there's multiple swells from the same angle or similar periods. It's jiberish and looking at Sydney today KJ's are 261 but south facing beaches a...
by SAsurfa
Tue Feb 24, 2015 2:59 pm
Forum: General surf discussion
Topic: Where did you surf today ?
Replies: 18987
Views: 1670791

Re: Where did you surf today ?

Um, Braithy that is the CW cam and Ben wouldn't be posting screenies of their cam, haha. Also, you're correct with the reverse current on east swells, but.. all the wave action is pushing down the points to the north and this is where all the sand is being transported. The reverse rip is a small cha...
by SAsurfa
Mon Jan 12, 2015 12:47 pm
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: bali forecast
Replies: 29
Views: 8897

Re: bali forecast

Beanpole, not looking good for the Seminyak area when you arrive. Active monsoon will bring fresh to strong onshore W'ly winds that should back off from about Tuesday the 20th and then become more variable. Swell wise, there's an OK pulse Sunday to an inconsistent 3-5ft at exposed breaks then nothin...
by SAsurfa
Wed Sep 03, 2014 4:21 pm
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: Spring fourteen
Replies: 251
Views: 39983

Re: Spring fourteen

It won't be anything like the size across NSW, but should still see headhigh sets out the back at Snapper tomorrow. Periods strong and hit 16s at Coffs.
by SAsurfa
Wed Sep 03, 2014 2:55 pm
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: Spring fourteen
Replies: 251
Views: 39983

Re: Spring fourteen

Iggs, swell front only due from midday up the North Coast and is filling in as expected from Steve's reports. Low pushed north of the Seal Rocks region so not blocked at all by Treach etc. With those core winds a very large and late kick in swell should be seen on the North Coast. https://s3.amazona...
by SAsurfa
Mon Sep 01, 2014 12:46 pm
Forum: General surf discussion
Topic: Where did you surf today ?
Replies: 18987
Views: 1670791

Re: Where did you surf today ?

As Iggs has explained, Deadies is a beast and unpredictable. I've watched it on so many swells/different moods/tides, and the one thing that stands out is that it's never easy. I've seen it super playful 6-8ft on a high tide with no ugly step, going from the outside reef right through to the end sec...
by SAsurfa
Wed Jul 09, 2014 12:40 pm
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: winter fourteen
Replies: 526
Views: 64043

Re: winter fourteen

hey sasurfa maybe you guys should start screaming at the newspapers etc 'cause there'll be a bunch of rock fishermen in the wrong places tomorrow morning. We've issued media releases before but they're usually only run if the wave height predictions are enormous or there is some other degree of new...
by SAsurfa
Tue Jul 08, 2014 3:47 pm
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: winter fourteen
Replies: 526
Views: 64043

Re: winter fourteen

Fetch duration for you guys up north isn't as good as down here, but we'll see almost a whole day of those winds aimed at us. Juicy indeed!!
by SAsurfa
Mon Jul 07, 2014 2:54 pm
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: winter fourteen
Replies: 526
Views: 64043

Re: winter fourteen

Yep Don's right Nick, that strong ridge and deepening low over New Zealand is gonna produce the goods.. finally!
by SAsurfa
Tue Jun 24, 2014 12:47 pm
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: bali forecast
Replies: 29
Views: 8897

Re: bali forecast

You have to buy a subscription to see the 16-day forecast pirate_agenda. Very useful if you're planning a trip over that way.
by SAsurfa
Mon Jun 23, 2014 12:54 pm
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: bali forecast
Replies: 29
Views: 8897

Re: bali forecast

I write up a Bali/Mentawai forecast every Tuesday and Thursday. Here's the latest one: https://www.swellnet.com/reports/forecaster-notes/bali-sumbawa-east-java/2014/06/19/bali-three-large-swells-within-week And you can check the forecast graph here: https://www.swellnet.com/reports/indonesia/bali/ul...
by SAsurfa
Mon Jun 16, 2014 11:19 am
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: winter fourteen
Replies: 526
Views: 64043

Re: winter fourteen

Hi guys, the 16-day forecast has its strengths and weaknesses, all mainly depending on which coast you're looking at. For Indo, Cloudbreak, Teahupoo, WA and any other west facing coast that receives long-range groundswell it's great. If you also work in the movement of the Long Wave Trough and where...
by SAsurfa
Mon Jan 20, 2014 12:36 pm
Forum: General surf discussion
Topic: South coast this week?
Replies: 11
Views: 1984

Re: South coast this week?

Mr Vic, It'll be worth a surf between Ulludulla and Nowra from Thursday through Friday. A new south swell is due and with winds swinging E/NE Thursday arvo and N/NE all day Friday there'll be at least one classic left reef working, with a good beachy as well all within about 40 mins of each other. C...
by SAsurfa
Tue Jan 01, 2013 9:54 pm
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: TC Freda
Replies: 58
Views: 13576

Re: TC Freda

Sorry Don, but the peak can't have changed around over the last 18 hours as the swell's already been generated. It will occur tomorrow morning and unfortunately it doesn't look to be as big as I forecast on Monday. Bit of a let down but really tricky to forecast.
by SAsurfa
Wed Dec 12, 2012 10:30 pm
Forum: Weather & surf forecasting
Topic: my prediction for summer
Replies: 99
Views: 20028

Re: my prediction for summer

Hi Braithy, yeah these systems aren't good swell producers for Sydney and Southern NSW let alone the Tassie East Coast, but in saying that the further south-west it protrudes and the longer it hags around, the greater the chance of some noticeable swell making its way down to you. It's a real long s...